A new wave of attacks by insurgent groups has raised fresh concerns about security in northern Nigeria. Fighters from Boko Haram and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) have launched coordinated assaults on military bases and nearby communities across Borno and Katsina states in recent weeks. Reports indicate that at least 65 soldiers have been killed during these incidents.

Security analysts say the attacks appear to be part of a broader strategy by the militants to regain territorial control, weaken government presence, and influence the political atmosphere ahead of future elections.

What’s happening on the ground

Recent attacks have targeted several military positions and communities in the North-East. Towns such as Jakana, Kawuri, Dalori, Mainok, and Marte in Borno State have seen repeated assaults. Communities, including Ngoshe and others, have also experienced violence linked to the insurgency.

According to security sources, the attacks often involve armed raids on military bases, destruction of buildings and vehicles, and the seizure of equipment such as motorcycles. In some incidents, senior military officers were reportedly killed and bases temporarily overrun.

The Nigerian military has responded with counter-operations to push the militants back and regain control of affected locations. Local vigilante groups have also assisted security forces in some areas.

A push for territory and influence

Experts say the attacks show signs of a coordinated campaign rather than isolated incidents. Militants appear to be attempting to reclaim territory that government forces had previously taken back.

Security researchers believe the strategy goes beyond short-term raids. The goal may be to destabilise communities, force people to flee their homes, and gradually rebuild influence in rural areas where government presence is limited.

By targeting military bases, the insurgents may also be trying to weaken the ability of security forces to protect nearby communities.

Government and security responses

Government officials say the attacks may have intensified during the Ramadan period, when extremist groups sometimes believe acts of violence bring spiritual rewards.

Authorities have said adjustments are being made to military strategy in response to the attacks. This includes redeploying forces and strengthening operations aimed at regaining control of affected areas.

However, some retired military officers and security insiders have raised concerns about possible internal vulnerabilities. They warn that leaked information or insider sabotage could help militants plan attacks more effectively.

While military installations are the main targets, civilians are often caught in the middle of the conflict. Communities in parts of Borno and Katsina have experienced displacement, loss of life, and disruption to farming and local trade.

Residents in affected areas continue to face uncertainty as security operations and insurgent activity fluctuate.

The pattern of attacks suggests insurgents may be shifting tactics. Instead of brief raids, they are increasingly launching coordinated operations aimed at weakening state authority and creating safe zones where they can operate more freely.

Security analysts say this trend highlights the need for stronger intelligence gathering, better coordination between security agencies, and closer cooperation with local communities.

Observers expect the military to continue adapting its counter-insurgency strategy in response to the changing tactics of Boko Haram and ISWAP.

With Nigeria’s 2027 general elections approaching, some analysts will also watch whether security developments in the North-East influence public confidence in government institutions.

There are also growing calls from civil society groups for improved communication between security agencies and greater use of technology to strengthen surveillance and accountability.

The recent spike in attacks on military bases in northern Nigeria signals an effort by insurgent groups to regain influence and challenge government authority in the region. As security forces respond, the conflict remains a major challenge for both military personnel and the civilian populations living in affected communities.